Covid-19 Germany by Age
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Age-stratified numbers of COVID-19 testpositives and deaths

This work was done as part of the NFDI4Health Task Force COVID-19 (nfdi4health.de). We gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) – Project Number 451265285.

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Human Disease: Covid-19

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Created: 19th Mar 2021 at 18:26

Last updated: 14th Sep 2022 at 05:28

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Version 1 Created 19th Mar 2021 at 18:26 by René Hänsel

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Task Force COVID-19 Leipzig

This project serves as a container for all COVID-19 related assets, developed at the University of Leipzig and its partners.

Programme: NFDI - German National Research Data Infrastructure

Public web page: https://www.nfdi4health.de/task-force-covid-19

Start date: 20th May 2020

NFDI4Health

NFDI4Health - the National Research Data Infrastructure for Personal Health Data - deals with data generated in clinical trials, epidemiological and public health studies. The collection and analysis of these data on health and disease status and important factors influencing it are an essential component for the development of new therapies, comprehensive care approaches and preventive measures in a modern health care system. Although these data already meet high content quality standards, they ...

Programme: NFDI - German National Research Data Infrastructure

Public web page: https://www.nfdi4health.de/en

On the Parametrization of Epidemiologic Models-Lessons from Modelling COVID-19 Epidemic.
Genetical Statistics and Systems Biology, Task Force COVID-19 Leipzig

Abstract (Expand)

Numerous prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Unknown parameters of these models are often estimated based on observational data. However, lag in case-reporting, changing … testing policy or incompleteness of data lead to biased estimates. Moreover, parametrization is time-dependent due to changing age-structures, emerging virus variants, non-pharmaceutical interventions, and vaccination programs. To cover these aspects, we propose a principled approach to parametrize a SIR-type epidemiologic model by embedding it as a hidden layer into an input-output non-linear dynamical system (IO-NLDS). Observable data are coupled to hidden states of the model by appropriate data models considering possible biases of the data. This includes data issues such as known delays or biases in reporting. We estimate model parameters including their time-dependence by a Bayesian knowledge synthesis process considering parameter ranges derived from external studies as prior information. We applied this approach on a specific SIR-type model and data of Germany and Saxony demonstrating good prediction performances. Our approach can estimate and compare the relative effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions and provide scenarios of the future course of the epidemic under specified conditions. It can be translated to other data sets, i.e., other countries and other SIR-type models.

Authors: Y. Kheifetz, H. Kirsten, M. Scholz

Date Published: 2nd Jul 2022

Publication Type: Journal article

Human Diseases: COVID-19

René Hänsel adminproject_administratorasset_housekeeperasset_gatekeeperprogramme_administrator

Projects: LHA - Leipzig Health Atlas, LIFE Adult, LIFE - Leipzig Research Center for Civilization Diseases, LIFE HNC - Head and Neck Cancer Group, LIFE Heart, MMML - Molecular mechanisms in malignant lymphoma, GLA - German Lymphoma Alliance, MMML Demonstrators - Molecular Mechanisms in Malignant Lymphomas - Demonstrators of Personalized Medicine, HaematoOpt - Individualized model-based managing of the next-cycle thrombopenia of CHOEP/CHOP treated patients based on platelets dynamics during the previous cycles, e:Med, GC-HBOC - German Consortium for Hereditary Breast and Ovarian Cancer, GC-HNPCC - German Consortium for Hereditary Non-Polyposis Colorectal Cancer, MMML-MYC-SYS, NLP4CR - Natural Language Processing for Clinical Research, Genetical Statistics and Systems Biology, SepNet - German Competence Network Sepsis, LIFE Child, HNPCC-Sys - Genomic and transcriptomic heterogeneity of colorectal tumours arising in Lynch syndrome, GGN - German Glioma Network, CAPSys - Footprints of Sepsis Framed Within Community Acquired Pneumonia in the Blood Transcriptome, CapSys - Systems Medicine of Community Acquired Pneumonia, ProstataCA, HaematoSys - Systems biology of haematopoiesis and haematopoietic neoplasia, SMITH - Smart Medical Information Technology for Healthcare, Task Force COVID-19 Leipzig, NFDI4Health, POLAR - Polypharmacy, Drug Interactions, Risks, Management of health information systems, LivSys Transfer - Transfer of the LivSys in vitro system for hepatotoxicity into application, Project Test Demonstrator, Fundus photography as tool for analysis of eyes of subjects with diabetes, Clinical Trials Leipzig, NFDI4Health - TA3 Services, STOP-NUC, SCALE-TORT, EarlyAMDRate

Institutions: Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology (IMISE)

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8344-0658
Holger Kirsten

Projects: Genetical Statistics and Systems Biology, Task Force COVID-19 Leipzig, NFDI4Health

Institutions: Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology (IMISE)

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3126-7950
NFDI - German National Research Data Infrastructure

In the German National Research Data Infrastructure (NFDI), valuable data from science and research are systematically accessed, networked and made usable in a sustainable and qualitative manner for the entire German science system. Up to now, they have mostly been available on a decentralised, project-related or temporary basis. The NFDI aims to create a permanent digital repository of knowledge as an indispensable prerequisite for new research questions, findings and innovations. Relevant data ...

Projects: NFDI4Health, Task Force COVID-19 Leipzig, NFDI4Health - TA3 Services, Clinical Trials Leipzig

Web page: https://www.nfdi.de/?lang=en

COVID-19
Task Force COVID-19 Leipzig

Taxonomy URI: http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/DOID_0080600

Synonyms: 2019-nCoV infection, 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV), Wuhan seafood market pneumonia virus infection, Wuhan coronavirus infection

Definitions: A Coronavirus infection that is characterized by fever, cough and shortness of breath and that has_material_basis_in SARS-CoV-2.

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The Health Atlas - Local Data Hub/Leipzig is an alliance of medical ontologists, medical systems biologists and clinical trials groups to design and implement a multi-functional and quality-assured atlas. It provides models, data and metadata on specific use cases from medical research fields.

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